Seguimiento: Temporada ciclónica 2006

[JOTAEME]

Cierto, en esa animación se ve un claro componente Suroeste. Y lo más imponente es que se observa muy claramente también el rapidísimo desarrollo de la nubosidad que lleva asociada Mónica  Parece que va a explotar, menuda caldera.

[Ermuleto]

Si, eso también creo yo. Mañana cuando nos levantemos, nos vamos a encontrar con un bicho muy grande. Mañana por la mañana curro, hasta las 15:00 no podré postear. A ver si alguién puede postear un mensaje sobre la evolución de MÓNICA.

[Ermuleto]

TOP PRIORITY


TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:34am on Tuesday the 18th of April 2006

A Cyclone warning is current for coastal and island communities between Torres
Strait and Cape Flattery. A Cyclone watch extends south to Cooktown, and
elsewhere on Cape York Peninsula north of Aurukun.

At 7 am EST, Tropical Cyclone Monica, Category 2, was centred near latitude
12.8 south longitude 148.4 east, which is 450 km kilometres northeast of
Cooktown and 530 km east of Lockhart River. The cyclone is moving west-southwest
at about 12 km/h.

Tropical Cyclone Monica is expected to intensify further and continue moving on
a general westward track over the next 24 to 48 hours. Damaging winds are
possible between Torres Strait and Cape Flattery from early Wednesday. The VERY
DESTRUCTIVE core of Monica with wind gusts up to 170 km/hr is expected to be
near the coast between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville on Wednesday morning. 

Tropical Cyclone Monica is expected to continue moving west and cross the
northern Cape York Peninsula on Wednesday evening and move into the Gulf of
Carpentaria overnight on Wednesday.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Monica, Category 2 (escala australiana), for 7 am EST Tuesday.
Central Pressure   : 985 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 40 kilometres of
                     latitude 12.8 degrees south
                     longitude 148.4 degrees east
                     530 km east of Lockhart River.
Recent Movement    : West-southwest at 12 kilometres per hour
Destructive winds  : out to 40 kilometres from the centre
Maximum wind gusts : 130 kilometres per hour, andINTENSIFYING.

People in coastal and island communities between Torres Strait and Cape Flattery
should commence or continue preparations especially attempting to secure boats
and property. People in the watch area should consider what action they will
need to take if the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next advice at
11am EST Tuesday. If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is
available from your local Police or State Emergency Service personnel. 

The next warning will be issued at 11 am EST Tuesday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[Yerai]

Pues si que llama la atención el rápido desarollo de la nubosidad asociada al ciclón
A ver que sorpresas nos da mañana...

Un saludo

[Ermuleto]

JM, con un poco de suerte podremos obtener imágenes de la webcam de Port Douglas, parece que de momento va hacia alli.

[Pablo]

Mañana como diria Marisa de radiopatio... MOVIDA MOVIDA!!!! a ver que pasa... pero tiene pinta de formarse un buen huracan... bueno vale ciclón jeje  

[Ermuleto]

Port Douglas (web cam)





Vamos a ver como bailan las palmeras. Chicos que hay mucho trabajo por aqui, a ver si conseguís más web cam de esa zona.

[JOTAEME]

Port Douglas (web cam)

Vamos a ver como bailan las palmeras. Chicos que hay mucho trabajo por aqui, a ver si conseguís más web cam de esa zona.

Vaya, veo que ya ha amanecido. Vaya bien que se ve, ya me pareció a mí a pesar de que era denoche.

[JOTAEME]

Parece que se confirma que Monica va a llegar con fuerza a tocar tierra, unos 80kts, y va a volver al océano con bastante vida, unos 60kts, lo cual abre la puerta para una reactivación importante como comentaba ayer Ermuleto.



[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]

[Ermuleto]

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 10
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:58pm on Tuesday the 18th of April 2006

A CYCLONE WARNING is current for coastal and island communities between Torres
Strait and Cape Flattery, extending across Cape York Peninsula to all areas
north of Pormpuraaw.

A CYCLONE WATCH is current south to a line from Cooktown on the east coast to
Kowanyama on the west coast. A CYCLONE WATCH has also been issued for Northern
Territory coastal and island communities between Groote Eylandt and Elcho Island
including Nhulunbuy.

At 10 pm EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica, Category 3 (escala australiana), was centred near
latitude
13.0 south longitude 145.6 east, which is 280 kilometres north of Cooktown and
230 kilometres east of Lockhart River. The cyclone is moving west at about
18 km/h.

Tropical Cyclone Monica is expected to intensify further overnight and continue
moving on a general westward track. DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts above 130 km/h
may develop between Cape Melville and Cape Flattery including Lizard Island
tonight, and should extend onto the coast between Torres Strait and Cape
Melville from early Wednesday morning.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of Monica with wind gusts up to 220 km/hr is expected
to cross the coast in the general area of Lockhart River late Wednesday morning.


Tropical Cyclone Monica is expected to continue moving westwards across Cape
York Peninsula later Wednesday and into the Gulf of Carpentaria early on
Thursday. Gales may develop about the Northern Territory coast between Groote
Eylandt and Elcho Island, including Nhulunbuy, late Thursday night.

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica, Category 3, for 10 pm EST Tuesday.
Central Pressure   : 970 Hectopascals
Location of Centre : within 40 kilometres of
                     latitude 13.0 degrees south
                     longitude 145.6 degrees east
                     230 km east of Lockhart River.
Recent Movement    : West at 18 kilometres per hour
Destructive winds  : out to 75 kilometres from the centre
Maximum wind gusts : 180 kilometres per hour, and INTENSIFYING.

People in communities in Torres Strait and over Cape York Peninsula north of a
line from Pormpuraaw to Cape Flattery should complete preparations quickly and
be prepared to shelter in a safe place.



Coastal residents between Cape Grenville and Cape Melville are specifically
warned of the dangerous storm tide as the cyclone crosses the coast. The sea is
likely to rise steadily up to a level significantly above the normal tide, with
damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas extending some way inland.
People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take
measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to follow
instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to do so by the
authorities.

People in the watch area should consider what action they will need to take if
the cyclone threat increases and listen to the next advice at 2 am EST
Wednesday (se recomienda a la ciudadania que esten atentos al siguiente boletín). If you are unsure about actions to be taken, information is available
from your local Police or State Emergency Service personnel. 

The next warning will be issued at 2 am EST Wednesday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212.  The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.

[Ermuleto]

Mónica, a punto de golpear tierra. Esta vez no me lo pierdo, usualmente siempre me pillan dormido los golpeos de estos Ciclones en tierra.

Atentos que después de golpear tierra, volverá a adentrarse en el Océano con categoría 2 (escala australiana)

[Ermuleto]

Ciclón Tropical MÓNICA (Huracán Categoría 1)


70 kts y 972 mb







Según los pronosticos, cuando golpee tierra perderá fuerza de 3 a 2 (escala australiana), pero cuando se adentre de nuevo en tierra, volverá a fortalecerse.

[JOTAEME]

Espectacular,  El TSR ya no prevé un debilitamiento a su  paso por tierra, es más, prevé un reforzamiento incluso antes de volver al mar  :dunno: . Lo peor de todo es que ya estamos hablando de un Categoría 2 en la escala Saffir-Simpson, y aún puede reforzarse más durante su estancia en el Golfo de Carpentaria.

[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]

[Ermuleto]

Ciclón Tropical MÓNICA (Huracán Categoría 1)


80 kts y 963 mb





Por lo que veo, voy a perderme nuevamente el golpeo de un Ciclón contra tierra. Espero estar para el 2º golpeo de Mónica a tierra. A resaltar que este Ciclón sigue ganando fuerza.

[JOTAEME]

Mónica cada vez asusta más. Cuenta ahora mismo con una fuerza de 85kts y después de un pequeño debilitamiento a su paso por tierra se espera un reforzamiento al menos hasta los 95kts rozando la categoría 3 de Saffir 


[archivo adjunto borrado por el administrador]